{"id":64835,"date":"2025-12-24T18:31:14","date_gmt":"2025-12-24T14:31:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/azerbaycan.media\/?p=64835"},"modified":"2025-12-24T18:31:14","modified_gmt":"2025-12-24T14:31:14","slug":"2026-ci-ild%c9%99-%c9%99mt%c9%99%c9%99-bazarlarinda-n%c9%99-bas-ver%c9%99c%c9%99k-neft-ucuzlasir-qizil-guclu-qalir-qaz-v%c9%99-metallar-dalgalanir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/azerbaycan.media\/?p=64835","title":{"rendered":"2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 bazarlar\u0131nda n\u0259 ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259k? Neft ucuzla\u015f\u0131r, q\u0131z\u0131l g\u00fccl\u00fc qal\u0131r, qaz v\u0259 metallar dal\u011falan\u0131r"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\n

Az\u0259rbaycan.media <\/strong>x\u0259b\u0259r verir ki, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 d\u00fcnya \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 bazar\u0131n\u0131n \u0259sas istiqam\u0259tl\u0259ri \u2014 neft, t\u0259bii qaz, q\u0131z\u0131l v\u0259 \u0259lvan metallar qlobal iqtisadi, geosiyasi v\u0259 m\u00f6vs\u00fcmi amill\u0259rin t\u0259siri alt\u0131nda qiym\u0259t d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259ri il\u0259 \u00fczl\u0259\u015f\u0259c\u0259k. Bazar i\u015ftirak\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 fyu\u00e7ers m\u00fcqavil\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 \u0259saslanaraq g\u0259l\u0259n il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259sas proqnozlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131qlay\u0131blar.<\/p>\n

Neft: t\u0259klif t\u0259l\u0259bi \u00fcst\u0259l\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k, qiym\u0259tl\u0259r en\u0259c\u0259k<\/strong><\/p>\n

Energetika \u0130nformasiyas\u0131 Administrasiyas\u0131 (EIA) v\u0259 Beyn\u0259lxalq Enerji Agentliyinin (IEA) proqnozlar\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 g\u00fcnd\u0259lik neft t\u0259klifi t\u0259l\u0259bi 2\u20134 milyon barel \u00fcst\u0259l\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k. Bu is\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u0259c\u0259yini g\u00f6st\u0259rir.<\/p>\n

EIA \u201cBrent\u201d markal\u0131 neftin qiym\u0259tinin 2026-c\u0131 ilin birinci r\u00fcb\u00fcn\u00fcn sonunda 53 dollar, ilin sonuna do\u011fru is\u0259 t\u0259dric\u0259n 56 dollar s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. Dig\u0259r apar\u0131c\u0131 maliyy\u0259 qurumlar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259ri is\u0259 nisb\u0259t\u0259n f\u0259rqlidir: \u201cGoldman Sachs\u201d orta qiym\u0259ti 56 dollar, \u201cJP Morgan\u201d 58 dollar, \u201cMorgan Stanley\u201d is\u0259 60 dollar s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 g\u00f6r\u00fcr.<\/p>\n

Haz\u0131rda \u201cBrent\u201d \u00fczr\u0259 yax\u0131n aylar \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn fyu\u00e7ers qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k d\u00f6vrl\u0259r\u0259 nisb\u0259t\u0259n daha y\u00fcks\u0259k olmas\u0131 bazar\u0131n nefti saxlamaqdan \u00e7ox indi satma\u011fa \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck verdiyini g\u00f6st\u0259rir. \u201cWTI\u201d markal\u0131 neft \u00fczr\u0259 is\u0259 fyu\u00e7ersl\u0259rd\u0259 ciddi d\u0259yi\u015fiklik m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunmur ki, bu da yax\u0131n perspektivd\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259k volatilliyin g\u00f6zl\u0259nilm\u0259diyini g\u00f6st\u0259rir.<\/p>\n

Q\u0131z\u0131l: y\u00fcks\u0259k t\u0259l\u0259bat qal\u0131r<\/strong><\/p>\n

Neft bazar\u0131ndak\u0131 qeyri-m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259nlik investorlar\u0131n diqq\u0259tini qiym\u0259tli metallara, x\u00fcsusil\u0259 q\u0131z\u0131la y\u00f6n\u0259ldib. Son bir ild\u0259 q\u0131z\u0131l\u0131n qiym\u0259ti 68 faiz artaraq \u0259n populyar investisiya al\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259n birin\u0259 \u00e7evrilib.<\/p>\n

Bu art\u0131m\u0131 d\u00fcnya m\u0259rk\u0259zi banklar\u0131n\u0131n aktiv al\u0131\u015flar\u0131, AB\u015e Prezidenti Donald Tramp\u0131n proteksionist siyas\u0259ti fonunda artan riskl\u0259r v\u0259 dollar \u00fczr\u0259 inflyasiya g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259ri d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259yir. Analitikl\u0259rin \u00fcmumi q\u0259na\u0259tin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 q\u0131z\u0131la t\u0259l\u0259bat y\u00fcks\u0259k olaraq qalacaq. G\u0259l\u0259n il q\u0131z\u0131l\u0131n orta qiym\u0259tinin 4200\u20134300 dollar \u0259traf\u0131nda d\u0259yi\u015f\u0259c\u0259yi, il \u0259rzind\u0259 is\u0259 4500 dollara q\u0259d\u0259r y\u00fcks\u0259l\u0259r\u0259k yeni tarixi maksimumlar\u0131 yenil\u0259y\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259yi istisna edilmir.<\/p>\n

T\u0259bii qaz: yayda ucuzla\u015fma, pay\u0131zda bahala\u015fma<\/strong><\/p>\n

2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 t\u0259bii qaz bazar\u0131nda klassik m\u00f6vs\u00fcmi dal\u011falanmalar\u0131n davam ed\u0259c\u0259yi g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131nda qaz qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri \u0259sas\u0259n Niderlanddak\u0131 TTF qov\u015fa\u011f\u0131nda formala\u015fan fyu\u00e7ersl\u0259r\u0259 \u0259saslan\u0131r. Bazar i\u015ftirak\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 \u00fcmumilikd\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin en\u0259c\u0259yini g\u00f6zl\u0259s\u0259l\u0259r d\u0259, s\u0259rt q\u0131\u015f v\u0259 geosiyasi riskl\u0259r bu proqnozlara t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n

Yay aylar\u0131nda qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131, pay\u0131zda is\u0259 yenid\u0259n bahala\u015fmas\u0131 ehtimal olunur. Ox\u015far dinamika AB\u015e qaz bazar\u0131nda da m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 edilir. Henry Hub \u00fczr\u0259 fyu\u00e7ersl\u0259r\u0259 \u0259sas\u0259n, yazda k\u0259skin ucuzla\u015fma, ilin sonuna do\u011fru is\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin b\u0259rpas\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir.<\/p>\n

\u018flvan metallar: qeyri-m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259nlik davam edir<\/strong><\/p>\n

London Metal Birjas\u0131nda (LME) nikel \u00fczr\u0259 fyu\u00e7ersl\u0259rin kontango v\u0259ziyy\u0259tind\u0259 olmas\u0131 bazarda qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin \u0259sas\u0259n sabit qalaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015far\u0259 edir. \u201cNorilsk Nickel\u201din m\u0259lumat\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 nikel bazar\u0131 ard\u0131c\u0131l be\u015finci il profisitd\u0259 olacaq. Bunun \u0259sas s\u0259b\u0259bi \u0130ndoneziyada hasilat\u0131n s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259 artmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bununla bel\u0259, r\u0259smi Cakartan\u0131n hasilat\u0131 m\u0259hdudla\u015fd\u0131rmaq c\u0259hdl\u0259ri qiym\u0259tl\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n d\u0259st\u0259k yarada bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n

Mis bazar\u0131nda is\u0259 f\u0259rqli m\u0259nz\u0259r\u0259 var. Bu il misin qiym\u0259ti 36 faiz art\u0131b v\u0259 bazar i\u015ftirak\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 c\u00fczi ucuzla\u015fma g\u00f6zl\u0259yirl\u0259r. 2025-ci ild\u0259 t\u0259klif defisiti qiym\u0259t art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n \u0259sas s\u0259b\u0259bi olub. 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 hasilat\u0131n 1,9 faiz artaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Lakin \u201cNorilsk Nickel\u201d t\u0259l\u0259bin t\u0259klifi \u00fcst\u0259l\u0259m\u0259y\u0259 davam ed\u0259c\u0259yini v\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin y\u00fcks\u0259k s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 qala bil\u0259c\u0259yini bildirir.<\/p>\n

Palladium: ucuzla\u015fma riski y\u00fcks\u0259kdir<\/strong><\/p>\n

2025-ci ild\u0259 palladiumun qiym\u0259ti t\u0259xmin\u0259n iki d\u0259f\u0259 artaraq unsiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn 1760 dollara \u00e7at\u0131b. Lakin 2026-c\u0131 il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn proqnozlar bu metal\u0131n qiym\u0259tind\u0259 ciddi eni\u015f ehtimal\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6st\u0259rir. \u018fsas risk elektromobill\u0259rin istehsal\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131d\u0131r. Palladiumun t\u0259xmin\u0259n 80 faizi daxiliyanma m\u00fch\u0259rrikli avtomobill\u0259rin katalizatorlar\u0131nda istifad\u0259 olunur v\u0259 bu avtomobill\u0259r\u0259 t\u0259l\u0259bin azalmas\u0131 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 sala bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n

\u201cBloomberg\u201din m\u0259lumat\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, 2026-c\u0131 ilin ikinci r\u00fcb\u00fcnd\u0259 palladiumun qiym\u0259ti 1400 dollara, ilin sonuna do\u011fru is\u0259 1150 dollara q\u0259d\u0259r en\u0259 bil\u0259r. \u201cReuters\u201din sor\u011fular\u0131nda is\u0259 g\u0259l\u0259n il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn orta qiym\u0259t 1260 dollar s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Bununla yana\u015f\u0131, \u201cNorilsk Nickel\u201d bazarda 0,1 milyon unsiya h\u0259cmind\u0259 defisit yarana bil\u0259c\u0259yini v\u0259 investisiya t\u0259l\u0259bi davam ed\u0259rs\u0259, qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin yenid\u0259n d\u0259st\u0259k tapa bil\u0259c\u0259yini istisna etmir.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n
\n
<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Az\u0259rbaycan.media x\u0259b\u0259r verir ki, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 d\u00fcnya \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 bazar\u0131n\u0131n \u0259sas istiqam\u0259tl\u0259ri \u2014 neft, t\u0259bii qaz, q\u0131z\u0131l v\u0259 \u0259lvan metallar qlobal iqtisadi, geosiyasi v\u0259 m\u00f6vs\u00fcmi amill\u0259rin t\u0259siri alt\u0131nda qiym\u0259t d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259ri il\u0259… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":64836,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-64835","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-iqtisadiyyat"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/azerbaycan.media\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64835","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/azerbaycan.media\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/azerbaycan.media\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/azerbaycan.media\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/azerbaycan.media\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=64835"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/azerbaycan.media\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64835\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":64838,"href":"https:\/\/azerbaycan.media\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64835\/revisions\/64838"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/azerbaycan.media\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/64836"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/azerbaycan.media\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=64835"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/azerbaycan.media\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=64835"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/azerbaycan.media\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=64835"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}